Malaria vaccine protection against intradermal or venous parasites: a randomized phase 2b human challenge trial.
Kapulu MC, Orenge F, Kimani D, Kibwana E, Kibet H, Mutahi M, Datoo MS, Bellamy D, Musembi J, Ngoto O, Rashid H, Akinyi S, Mwatasa MH, Nyamako L, Keter K, Gatheru R, Mutiso A, Musyoki J, Mwacharo J, Abebe Y, James ER, Billingsley PF, Ngetsa C, Mosobo M, Makale J, Tawa B, Wamae K, Ochola-Oyier LI, Lawrie A, Ramos-Lopez F, Roberts R, Richie TL, Sim BKL, Hoffman SL, Ewer KJ, Hill AVS, Hamaluba M, Bejon P
- DOI
- 10.1038/s41591-025-04107-6
- Record issued
- 2026-08-15
- Engine
- 7.39.0
- Exported
- 2026-09-20
Prepared by Alpha1. This document is confidential: it is intended for the recipient it was shared with and must not be redistributed. The live record at alpha1science.com/verify/564920e9-fc10-412a-8a4f-7dcec8558bab is authoritative.
How this rating was calculated
- IntegrityIntegrity concern ×2−1★
- ClaimsOverstated claim−0.5★
- ClaimsEfficacy rests on an unvalidated surrogate endpoint−0.5★
- ClaimsTreatment effect not shown to be clinically meaningful−0.5★
- StatisticsPrinted percentage does not match its own count (capped) ×2−0.25★
- CitationsUnresolved reference−0.25★
- The numeric-impossibility checks (GRIM/GRIMMER/DEBIT/SPRITE) did not run: 18 reported means were read, and their group size is not stated where the values are printed (this source has no machine-readable table structure). These checks need the count the mean was averaged over, so none was performed.
- 01Efficacy rests on an unvalidated surrogate endpoint
The primary efficacy endpoint is time to meeting treatment criteria (parasitemia ≥500 parasites/μl or any parasitemia with clinical symptoms), which is a surrogate for clinical malaria. The paper does not provide evidence that this surrogate is validated as a reliable predictor of clinical outcomes such as severe disease or mortality, nor does it demonstrate target engagement at the tested dose beyond antibody titers. The claim of protection against ID challenge is based on this surrogate without establishing a link to clinical benefit.
“The prespecified primary endpoint was time to meeting treatment criteria (that is, reaching the parasitaemia threshold of 500 parasites μl −1 or any parasitaemia plus important clinical symptoms).”
- 02Treatment effect not shown to be clinically meaningful
The primary reported effect is that 0/12 R21-vaccinated volunteers met the primary endpoint after ID challenge, compared to 5/5 after DVI challenge. While this is statistically significant, the effect size is presented as a binary outcome without anchoring to a clinically meaningful difference. The paper does not provide a minimal clinically important difference or a comparison to a clinically relevant threshold. The small sample size (n=5 for DVI) further limits the interpretability of the effect size.
“none of the 12 volunteers vaccinated by R21 met the primary endpoint following challenge with ID PfSPZ... five of five R21 vaccinated volunteers receiving DVI sporozoites met the primary endpoint ( P < 0.0005 by log rank across all groups).”
- 03Printed percentage does not match its own count
32% does not match the reported count 12/37
“12/37 (32.0%)”
- 04Printed percentage does not match its own count
32% does not match the reported count 12/37
“12/37 (32.0%)”
ResultsFind in source - 05Conclusion reaches beyond the evidence
Sporozoites causing infection in the face of high-titer anti-CSP antibodies result from occasional capillary injection by mosquito bites.
“we conclude that sporozoites causing infection in the face of high-titer anti-CSP antibodies induced by RTS,S or by R21 result from the occasional injection of capillary sporozoites by mosquito bites”
DiscussionFind in source
This Kaimen Rigor review uses Kaimen Rigor reviewers trained on a curated corpus of high-fidelity and retracted papers, with expert supervision and curation. It can still make mistakes; verify each finding against the source before relying on it.
This is a well-conducted phase 2b randomized controlled human challenge trial with strong ethical approvals, clear reporting of demographics, and a concrete data availability statement. The main weaknesses are the small sample size (especially the DVI R21 group, n=5), the power analysis not matching actual group sizes, and imprecise reporting of p-values as thresholds rather than exact values.
All three reviewers classified the study as interventional; no disagreement. The evaluation covered the full text, including methods, results, and supplementary information. Not applicable criteria (e.g., cell line authentication, housing conditions) were excluded. The statistics verification component recomputed only a subset of tests (6 total, 4 consistent, 2 inconsistent but not decision errors); this does not constitute a full validation of all statistical results.
Numerical inconsistencies
2 findings · worst mediumValues that contradict each other or are impossible for the stated sample: recomputed p-values and test statistics, GRIM/GRIMMER checks on summary numbers, percentages against their own counts, totals against their parts, and estimates against their own confidence intervals.
- Printed percentage does not match its own countRecomputed
- Internal contradictions in the reported numbersAssessed
Recomputed 4 tests: 4 consistent, 0 inconsistent; 4 via agent-written checks. 2 printed percentages that do not match their own count.
- PERCENT32% does not match the reported count 12/37
“12/37 (32.0%)”
- PERCENT32% does not match the reported count 12/37
“12/37 (32.0%)”
ResultsFind in source
- CONSISTENTreported p < .001 · recomputed p = <.001Reviewer 1Fisher's exact test for R21 ID vs DVI protection (primary endpoint)
“0 out of 12 volunteers challenged by ID met the primary endpoint of requiring treatment versus 5 out of 5 challenged by DVI, P < 0.001 by Fisher’s two-sided test”
Taken as given: The 0 and 12 are the events and non-events in the R21 ID group.; The 5 and 0 are the events and non-events in the R21 DVI group.; The test is two-sided Fisher's exact.Method: Two-sided Fisher's exact test on the 2x2 table [0,12;5,0].How we recomputed it: pFisher2x2(0,12,5,0,0) - CONSISTENTreported p = .009 · recomputed p = .009Reviewer 1Fisher's exact test for sensitivity analysis (ID vs DVI protection including PCR-positive as events)
“If we include these volunteers as meeting an exploratory endpoint for purposes of a sensitivity analysis, protection is nevertheless substantial by ID (9 out of 12, 75%), and statistically significantly different from DVI (0 out of 5 protected, P = 0.009 by Fisher’s two-sided test).”
Taken as given: The 3 and 9 are the events and non-events in the R21 ID group (3 PCR-positive, 9 protected).; The 5 and 0 are the events and non-events in the R21 DVI group (5 met endpoint, 0 protected).; The test is two-sided Fisher's exact.Method: Two-sided Fisher's exact test on the 2x2 table [3,9;5,0].How we recomputed it: pFisher2x2(3,9,5,0,0) - CONSISTENTreported p = .009 · recomputed p = .009Reviewer 2Fisher's exact test for R21 ID vs DVI protection (9/12 vs 0/5 protected)
“protection is nevertheless substantial by ID (9 out of 12, 75%), and statistically significantly different from DVI (0 out of 5 protected, P = 0.009 by Fisher’s two-sided test).”
Taken as given: The numbers 9, 12, 0, 5 are the protected and total counts for ID and DVI groups respectively.; The test is two-sided Fisher's exact test.Method: Two-sided Fisher's exact test on 2x2 table (9,3,0,5).How we recomputed it: pFisher2x2(9,3,0,5,0) - CONSISTENTreported p = .009 · recomputed p = .009Reviewer 3Fisher's exact test comparing protection (0/5 vs 9/12) between DVI and ID in R21 vaccinees.
“protection is nevertheless substantial by ID (9 out of 12, 75%), and statistically significantly different from DVI (0 out of 5 protected, P = 0.009 by Fisher’s two-sided test).”
Taken as given: The numbers 5 and 0 are the total and protected in DVI group.; The numbers 12 and 9 are the total and protected in ID group.; The test is two-sided Fisher's exact.Method: Fisher's exact test on 2x2 table (DVI: 5 events, 0 non-events; ID: 3 events, 9 non-events).How we recomputed it: pFisher2x2(5,0,3,9,0)
- lowinternal contradictionThe abstract states 'Seven of 8 (88%) control volunteers and 11 of 12 (92%) ME-TRAP vaccinated volunteers' but the results section says 'All 8 unvaccinated control volunteers and all 12 volunteers vaccinated with ME-TRAP became PCR positive' - the abstract's percentages are consistent with the primary endpoint, not PCR positivity, so this is not a contradiction.
“Seven of 8 (88%) control volunteers and 11 of 12 (92%) ME-TRAP vaccinated volunteers, but none of the 12 R21 vaccinated volunteers receiving ID challenge met the prespecified treatment criteria”
AbstractFind in source - lowinternal contradictionTable 2 reports 'Treated, nonfebrile' for R21 DVI as 0% (0/12) but the group size is n=5, and the row total for that group is inconsistent.
Treated, nonfebrile, % ( n / N ) | 0% (0/12) for R21 DVI
Table 2reviewer’s wording
Overstated conclusions
4 findings · worst highConclusions that reach past what the paper's own results support — including a significance claim that no longer holds when the statistic is recomputed, and efficacy resting on an unvalidated surrogate endpoint.
- Efficacy rests on an unvalidated surrogate endpointAssessed
- Treatment effect not shown to be clinically meaningfulAssessed
- Conclusions overstated beyond the evidenceAssessed
- Conclusions only partially backed by the presented evidenceAssessed
9 major claims checked against the paper's own evidence: 1 not fully backed by the presented evidence (unsupported or overstated), 2 only partially supported (evidence backs part of the claim; gaps or caveats remain).
- overstatedReviewer 2Sporozoites causing infection in the face of high-titer anti-CSP antibodies result from occasional capillary injection by mosquito bites.This is a plausible hypothesis but not directly tested in this study; it is an extrapolation from the observed route-dependent protection.Evidence: The paper's data show route-dependent protection, but the specific claim about mosquito bite capillary injection is not directly measured.
“we conclude that sporozoites causing infection in the face of high-titer anti-CSP antibodies induced by RTS,S or by R21 result from the occasional injection of capillary sporozoites by mosquito bites”
DiscussionFind in source - partialReviewers 1, 2The difference in protective efficacy by challenge route is due to a qualitatively different interaction between anti-CSP antibodies and sporozoites, not a dose effect.The claim is supported by the similar infection rates and growth curves in unvaccinated controls across routes, but the small sample size and lack of direct mechanistic evidence limit the strength.Evidence: Unvaccinated controls had similar infection rates (8/8 ID vs 32/34 DVI) and similar growth curves; the authors argue this implies similar effective inoculum.
“We conclude that the different doses resulted in a similar effective inoculum reaching the liver in unvaccinated volunteers, and therefore that the differences seen among R21 vaccinated volunteers imply a qualitatively different interaction between anti-CSP antibodies and PfSPZ challenge that is dependent on the route of challenge.”
DiscussionFind in source - partialReviewer 3The results explain the 'leaky' protection observed in field trials.The paper provides a plausible hypothesis but does not directly test it in the field; it is an inference from the data.Evidence: Discussion synthesizes findings with prior animal models and mosquito bite data.
“we conclude that sporozoites causing infection in the face of high-titer anti-CSP antibodies induced by RTS,S or by R21 result from the occasional injection of capillary sporozoites by mosquito bites, producing noise in the correlation between antibody titers and the endpoint, which explains the leaky protection.”
DiscussionFind in source - supportedReviewers 1, 2R21/Matrix-M was highly protective against CHMI using ID inoculation of sporozoites, but not against DVI sporozoites.The claim is directly supported by the primary endpoint results: 0/12 R21 ID met the primary endpoint vs 5/5 R21 DVI, with statistical significance.Evidence: Primary endpoint results: 0/12 R21 ID vs 5/5 R21 DVI met the primary endpoint; P < 0.0005 by log-rank.
“R21/Matrix-M was highly protective against CHMI using ID. inoculation of sporozoites, but not against DVI sporozoites.”
AbstractFind in source - supportedReviewers 1, 2ME-TRAP was not protective against CHMI in this study.The claim is supported by the primary endpoint results: 11/12 ME-TRAP volunteers met the primary endpoint, similar to controls.Evidence: 11 of 12 ME-TRAP volunteers met the primary endpoint, compared to 7/8 controls.
“Seven of eight control volunteers (88%) and 11 of 12 ME-TRAP volunteers (92%) met the criteria for the primary endpoint”
ResultsFind in source - supportedReviewer 1Correlates of efficacy for antibodies to sporozoites should be assessed by separate DVI and ID challenges.This is a reasonable recommendation based on the study's findings, though it is a forward-looking suggestion rather than a direct result.Evidence: The study demonstrates route-dependent efficacy, supporting the need for separate assessment.
“Correlates of efficacy for antibodies to sporozoites should also be assessed by separate DVI and ID challenges.”
AbstractFind in source - supportedReviewer 3R21/Matrix-M is highly protective against intradermal CHMI but not against direct venous inoculation.The primary endpoint data directly support this claim: 0/12 ID vs 5/5 DVI met the primary endpoint.Evidence: Primary outcomes: none of the 12 R21 ID met primary endpoint; all 5 R21 DVI met primary endpoint.
“R21/Matrix-M was highly protective against CHMI using ID. inoculation of sporozoites, but not against DVI sporozoites.”
AbstractFind in source - supportedReviewer 3ME-TRAP vaccine was not protective against CHMI.11/12 ME-TRAP volunteers met the primary endpoint, similar to controls, supporting lack of efficacy.Evidence: Primary outcomes: 11 of 12 ME-TRAP volunteers met the primary endpoint.
“Seven of 8 (88%) control volunteers and 11 of 12 (92%) ME-TRAP vaccinated volunteers, but none of the 12 R21 vaccinated volunteers receiving ID challenge met the prespecified treatment criteria for the primary endpoint.”
AbstractFind in source - supportedReviewer 3The difference in protection by route is statistically significant.The log-rank test across all groups and Fisher's exact test support significance.Evidence: P < 0.0005 by log-rank; P = 0.009 by Fisher's exact for sensitivity analysis.
“P < 0.0005 by log-rank survival across all groups”
ResultsFind in source
Premise concern: surrogate not validated for clinical benefit; effect size not shown to be clinically meaningful.
- INADEQUATESurrogate endpointThe primary efficacy endpoint is time to meeting treatment criteria (parasitemia ≥500 parasites/μl or any parasitemia with clinical symptoms), which is a surrogate for clinical malaria. The paper does not provide evidence that this surrogate is validated as a reliable predictor of clinical outcomes such as severe disease or mortality, nor does it demonstrate target engagement at the tested dose beyond antibody titers. The claim of protection against ID challenge is based on this surrogate without establishing a link to clinical benefit.
“The prespecified primary endpoint was time to meeting treatment criteria (that is, reaching the parasitaemia threshold of 500 parasites μl −1 or any parasitaemia plus important clinical symptoms).”
- INADEQUATEEffect sizeThe primary reported effect is that 0/12 R21-vaccinated volunteers met the primary endpoint after ID challenge, compared to 5/5 after DVI challenge. While this is statistically significant, the effect size is presented as a binary outcome without anchoring to a clinically meaningful difference. The paper does not provide a minimal clinically important difference or a comparison to a clinically relevant threshold. The small sample size (n=5 for DVI) further limits the interpretability of the effect size.
“none of the 12 volunteers vaccinated by R21 met the primary endpoint following challenge with ID PfSPZ... five of five R21 vaccinated volunteers receiving DVI sporozoites met the primary endpoint ( P < 0.0005 by log rank across all groups).”
Data authenticity concerns
None foundAn adversarial read for patterns associated with data that may not be genuine: results that look too clean, implausibly large effects, duplicated data or images, and methods that do not match the results reported.
Checked — nothing surfaced.
Reporting gaps
None foundRequired detail the manuscript never states — study design, biological variables, ethics approval and consent, key resources, statistical reporting, data and code availability, and overall transparency.
Checked — nothing surfaced.
The introduction cites prior vaccine efficacy trials (RTS,S/AS01, R21/Matrix-M), animal model evidence that dermal sporozoites are more readily blocked, and notes the lack of human CHMI studies comparing ID vs DVI. The hypothesis follows logically from this evidence. Limitations of prior research (e.g., noise from mixed inoculation routes in mosquito bites) are explicitly addressed.
“Furthermore, in animal models, dermal sporozoites are more readily blocked by anti-CSP antibodies compared to intravenous sporozoites”
“We therefore hypothesized that vaccine protection might vary according the route of inoculation (that is, ID versus DVI).”
“However, where sensitivity to the anti-CSP antibodies induced by vaccination may vary for ID and for intravenous sporozoites, then the mixture of inoculation routes in infectious mosquito bites introduces noise and precludes a definitive measurement of correlates of efficacy.”
“Two malaria vaccines have recently been licensed (that is, RTS,S/AS01 (ref. ) and R21/Matrix-M ), both of which induce immunity to the major antigen on the sporozoite surface, that is, the circumsporozoite protein (CSP).”
“We therefore hypothesized that vaccine protection might vary according the route of inoculation (that is, ID versus DVI).”
“However, where sensitivity to the anti-CSP antibodies induced by vaccination may vary for ID and for intravenous sporozoites, then the mixture of inoculation routes in infectious mosquito bites introduces noise and precludes a definitive measurement of correlates of efficacy.”
“Two malaria vaccines have recently been licensed (that is, RTS,S/AS01 (ref. ) and R21/Matrix-M ), both of which induce immunity to the major antigen on the sporozoite surface, that is, the circumsporozoite protein (CSP).”
“We therefore hypothesized that vaccine protection might vary according the route of inoculation (that is, ID versus DVI).”
“To our knowledge, there are no CHMI studies that compare anti-CSP antibodies against different routes of inoculation of sporozoites in human volunteers.”
Randomization used a computer-generated sequence by an independent statistician, with allocation concealed via REDCap. Inclusion/exclusion criteria are detailed. A power analysis is provided. Blinding was not used (open-label) with a rationale: placebo impractical and outcomes based on objective PCR with laboratory team blinded. For a human RCT, replicate_distinction, controls, and independent_replication are not applicable. Outlier handling is addressed via ITT and per-protocol populations.
“The volunteers were randomly assigned with randomization via a computer-generated sequence by an independent statistician.”
“Using a comparison of proportions and assuming P = 0.05 and 100% infection rates in the control group, we predicted 90% power to detect 40% efficacy with n = 20 groups and 80% power to detect 60% efficacy with n = 10.”
“The study was open label as (1) placebo for the different doses and routes would have been impractical and (2) outcomes were based on objective PCR data and the laboratory team were blind to allocations.”
“The volunteers were randomly assigned with randomization via a computer-generated sequence by an independent statistician.”
“The study was open label as (1) placebo for the different doses and routes would have been impractical and (2) outcomes were based on objective PCR data and the laboratory team were blind to allocations.”
“Using a comparison of proportions and assuming P = 0.05 and 100% infection rates in the control group, we predicted 90% power to detect 40% efficacy with n = 20 groups and 80% power to detect 60% efficacy with n = 10.”
“The volunteers were randomly assigned with randomization via a computer-generated sequence by an independent statistician.”
“The study was open label as (1) placebo for the different doses and routes would have been impractical and (2) outcomes were based on objective PCR data and the laboratory team were blind to allocations.”
“Using a comparison of proportions and assuming P = 0.05 and 100% infection rates in the control group, we predicted 90% power to detect 40% efficacy with n = 20 groups and 80% power to detect 60% efficacy with n = 10.”
Sex is reported (70% male), age (mean 28.3 years), and health status (inclusion/exclusion criteria). Demographics include ethnicity (Mijikenda). For a human study, species/strain and housing conditions are not applicable. Sex justification is not applicable since both sexes were enrolled.
“There was a predominance of young male volunteers (28/40, 70%) with a mean age of 28.3 years”
“Volunteers were from the Mijikenda ethnic group.”
“Age in years, mean (s.d.) | 28.2 (6.1) | 26.1 (4.1) | 28.8 (5.1) | 30.8 (8.1) | 27.4 (6.8) | 25.4 (6.0) | 28.1 (7.1) | 26.7 (3.5) | 28.0 (8.0)”
“Male, % ( n / N ) | 83.3% (10/12) | 71.4% (5/7) | 66.7% (8/12) | 55.6% (5/9) | 83.3% (10/12) | 71.4% (5/7) | 58.3% (7/12) | 77.8% (7/9) | 79% (27/34)”
“The male predominance among volunteers appears to relate to established gender roles .”
“Male, % ( n / N ) | 83.3% (10/12) | 71.4% (5/7) | 66.7% (8/12) | 55.6% (5/9) | 83.3% (10/12) | 71.4% (5/7) | 58.3% (7/12) | 77.8% (7/9) | 79% (27/34)”
“Volunteers were from the Mijikenda ethnic group.”
The paper names the Kenyan National IRB (ERU (KEMRI/SERU/CGMR-C/158/3844)) and Oxford IRB (OxTREC (OxTREC 32-19)), and the Pharmacy and Poisons Board. Informed consent is described (written informed consent). Regulatory compliance is stated (ICH-GCP, FDA IND).
“approvals were obtained from a National IRB in Kenya and the relevant Oxford IRB (ERU (KEMRI/SERU/CGMR-C/158/3844) and OxTREC (OxTREC 32-19))”
“Following written informed consent, we recruited healthy adult men and women”
“The use of Sanaria PfSPZ challenge (NF54) was done in accordance with an investigational new drugs application with the US Food and Drug Administration.”
“Before commencing activity, approvals were obtained from a National IRB in Kenya and the relevant Oxford IRB (ERU (KEMRI/SERU/CGMR-C/158/3844) and OxTREC (OxTREC 32-19)) and from the medicines regulatory authority in Kenya (Pharmacy and Poisons Board (ECCT/19/11/01)).”
“Following written informed consent, we recruited healthy adult men and women aged between 18 and 45 years from Kilifi North on the Kenyan Coast”
“The use of Sanaria PfSPZ challenge (NF54) was done in accordance with an investigational new drugs application with the US Food and Drug Administration.”
“Before commencing activity, approvals were obtained from a National IRB in Kenya and the relevant Oxford IRB (ERU (KEMRI/SERU/CGMR-C/158/3844) and OxTREC (OxTREC 32-19)) and from the medicines regulatory authority in Kenya (Pharmacy and Poisons Board (ECCT/19/11/01)).”
“Following written informed consent, we recruited healthy adult men and women aged between 18 and 45 years from Kilifi North on the Kenyan Coast”
R21/Matrix-M is described with dose (10 μg mixed with Matrix-M 50 μg). ChAd63/MVA ME-TRAP is described. PfSPZ challenge (Sanaria) is identified with doses. Software (STATA, REDCap, SeekDeep) is identified with versions where applicable. Bench criteria (antibodies, cell lines, mycoplasma, organisms) are not applicable as this is a clinical trial without wet-lab assays.
“R21 was thawed to room temperature then mixed with Matrix-M before administration (10 μg mixed with Matrix-M 50 μg)”
“A randomization list in the form of password protected spreadsheet was generated using STATA and the data manager setup randomization in REDCap.”
“R21 was thawed to room temperature then mixed with Matrix-M before administration (10 μg mixed with Matrix-M 50 μg) and administered intramuscularly.”
“The CHMI agent (that is, Sanaria PfSPZ challenge (NF54)) in cryovials was thawed by partial submersion of each vial for 30 s in a 37 ± 1 °C water bath.”
“A randomization list in the form of password protected spreadsheet was generated using STATA and the data manager setup randomization in REDCap.”
“R21 was thawed to room temperature then mixed with Matrix-M before administration (10 μg mixed with Matrix-M 50 μg) and administered intramuscularly.”
“18S Pf forward-5′GTAATTGGAATGATAGGAATTTACAAGGT 3′; 18S Pf Reverse-5’ TCAACTACGAACGTTTTAACTGCAAC 3′; 18S Pf MGB -5′ FAM- AACAATTGGAGGGCAAG-NFQ-MGB 3′”
“Sequence data analysis was performed in SeekDeep version 3.0.110”
Tests named include log-rank, Fisher's exact, Kruskal-Wallis. Effect sizes with CIs are reported (e.g., geometric means with 95% CI). Exact p-values are given (e.g., P < 0.0005, P = 0.14). Software (STATA) is identified. Data presentation includes Kaplan-Meier curves and per-group n. Mathematical plausibility is not applicable for large-N continuous outcomes; however, some subgroup counts in Table 2 show a potential inconsistency (see integrity concerns).
“P < 0.0005 by log-rank survival across all groups”
“increased from geometric mean of 104 s.f.u. (95% CI 70–153) at baseline to a peak of 735 (95% CI 364–1,485 s.f.u., P = 0.01”
“P < 0.0005 by log rank across all groups”
“P < 0.0005 by log-rank survival across all groups”
“P < 0.0005 by log-rank testing across all groups.”
“Peak responses were geometric means of 2,152 and 1,113 and minimum to maximum ranges of 750–5,500 versus 610–3,300 for ID versus DVI challenged groups, respectively ( P = 0.14).”
“P < 0.0005 by log-rank survival across all groups”
“spot-forming units (s.f.u.) per million peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) increased from geometric mean of 104 s.f.u. (95% CI 70–153) at baseline to a peak of 735 (95% CI 364–1,485 s.f.u., P = 0.01”
“A randomization list in the form of password protected spreadsheet was generated using STATA”
Data are deposited in Harvard Dataverse (DOI 10.7910/DVN/TNHS14). Individual-level data are available via application to the Data Governance Committee with contact email and no timing restrictions. This is reported_and_adequate. Repository deposit and accession numbers are not applicable for identifiable patient data, but the Dataverse deposit covers non-identifiable data. Code sharing is not applicable as no bespoke code is mentioned.
“Data are available through the online repository for KEMRI–Wellcome Trust Research Programme: Harvard Dataverse at 10.7910/DVN/TNHS14 (ref. ). Individual-level data, excluding personal identifiers, will be made available in accordance with an application to the Data Governance Committee, which meets monthly (dgc@kemri-wellcome.org).”
“Data are available through the online repository for KEMRI–Wellcome Trust Research Programme: Harvard Dataverse at 10.7910/DVN/TNHS14 (ref. ). Individual-level data, excluding personal identifiers, will be made available in accordance with an application to the Data Governance Committee, which meets monthly (dgc@kemri-wellcome.org).”
“Data are available through the online repository for KEMRI–Wellcome Trust Research Programme: Harvard Dataverse at 10.7910/DVN/TNHS14 (ref. ).”
“Individual-level data, excluding personal identifiers, will be made available in accordance with an application to the Data Governance Committee, which meets monthly (dgc@kemri-wellcome.org).”
Methods are comprehensive. Trial registration numbers are provided (NCT03947190, PACTR202108505632810). Limitations are explicitly discussed (historical controls, sample size). Conclusions are proportional, acknowledging small sample size. Funding and competing interests are stated. Reporting guideline (CONSORT) is implied via CONSORT diagram, though not explicitly referenced.
“The study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov ( NCT03947190 (https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03947190?term=NCT03947190&rank=1) ) and PACTR ( PACTR202108505632810 (https://pactr.samrc.ac.za/TrialDisplay.aspx?TrialID=15911) ).”
“Our study has some limitations. We relied on historical controls for PfSPZ challenge by DVI”
“This work was supported by a Wellcome (203077) to P.B. as the lead applicant.”
“The study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov ( NCT03947190 (https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03947190?term=NCT03947190&rank=1) ) and PACTR ( PACTR202108505632810 (https://pactr.samrc.ac.za/TrialDisplay.aspx?TrialID=15911) ).”
“Our study has some limitations. We relied on historical controls for PfSPZ challenge by DVI and prior malaria exposure appears to have been higher in this group”
“This work was supported by a Wellcome (203077) to P.B. as the lead applicant.”
“The study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov ( NCT03947190 (https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03947190?term=NCT03947190&rank=1) ) and PACTR ( PACTR202108505632810 (https://pactr.samrc.ac.za/TrialDisplay.aspx?TrialID=15911) ).”
“Our study has some limitations. We relied on historical controls for PfSPZ challenge by DVI and prior malaria exposure appears to have been higher in this group”
“This work was supported by a Wellcome (203077) to P.B. as the lead applicant.”
Registered (1 ID: ClinicalTrials.gov). Reporting guideline cited: CONSORT.
Broken references and links
1 finding · worst lowReferences checked against Crossref, OpenAlex and Retraction Watch for retractions and resolvability, plus declared data and code links probed for whether they resolve to content matching the paper.
- References not resolvable to a published paperRecomputed
Checked 43 references by DOI: 2 verified — 1 DOI unresolved, 40 no DOI (shown, not verified).
- UNRESOLVED10.7910/dvn/tnhs14Replication data for: The malaria vaccine R21 is protective against intradermal but not intravenous Plasmodium falciparum sporozoites in controlled human malaria infection in Kenyan adultsCited DOI does not resolve to any Crossref record.
- NO DOISafety and efficacy of malaria vaccine candidate R21/Matrix-M in African children: a multicentre, double-blind, randomised, phase 3 trialNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOISubcutaneous administration of a monoclonal antibody to prevent malariaNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIPublic health impact and cost-effectiveness of the RTS,S/AS01 malaria vaccine: a systematic comparison of predictions from four mathematical modelsNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIFirst results of phase 3 trial of RTS,S/AS01 malaria vaccine in African childrenNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOISeven-year efficacy of RTS,S/AS01 malaria vaccine among young African childrenNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIDuration of vaccine efficacy against malaria: 5th year of follow-up in children vaccinated with RTS,S/AS02 in MozambiqueNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIEfficacy and immunogenicity of R21/Matrix-M vaccine against clinical malaria after 2 years’ follow-up in children in Burkina Faso: a phase 1/2b randomised controlled trialNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIFurther analysis of correlates of protection from a phase 2a trial of the falciparum malaria vaccines RTS,S/AS01B and RTS,S/AS02A in malaria-naive adultsNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIControlled human malaria infection studies in Africa—past, present, and futureNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIAnalysis of immunity to febrile malaria in children that distinguishes immunity from lack of exposureNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIRandomized, double-blind, phase 2a trial of falciparum malaria vaccines RTS,S/AS01B and RTS,S/AS02A in malaria-naive adults: safety, efficacy, and immunologic associates of protectionNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIR21 in Matrix-M adjuvant in UK malaria-naive adult men and non-pregnant women aged 18–45 years: an open-label, partially blinded, phase 1–2a controlled human malaria infection studyNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIFeeding behaviour and sporozoite ejection by infected Anopheles stephensiNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIControlled human malaria infection of Tanzanians by intradermal injection of aseptic, purified, cryopreserved Plasmodium falciparum sporozoitesNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIDirect venous inoculation of Plasmodium falciparum sporozoites for controlled human malaria infection: a dose-finding trial in two centresNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOILongitudinal analysis of Plasmodium sporozoite motility in the dermis reveals component of blood vessel recognitionNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIAntibody-mediated protection against Plasmodium sporozoites begins at the dermal inoculation siteNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOICytotoxic anti-circumsporozoite antibodies target malaria sporozoites in the host skinNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOITranslating the Immunogenicity of prime-boost immunization with ChAd63 and MVA ME-TRAP from malaria naive to malaria-endemic populationsNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIEvaluation of the efficacy of ChAd63-MVA vectored vaccines expressing circumsporozoite protein and ME-TRAP against controlled human malaria infection in malaria-naive individualsNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIFirst field efficacy trial of the ChAd63 MVA ME-TRAP vectored malaria vaccine candidate in 5–17 months old infants and childrenNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIPrime-boost vaccination with chimpanzee adenovirus and modified vaccinia Ankara encoding TRAP provides partial protection against Plasmodium falciparum infection in Kenyan adultsNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIControlled human malaria infection studies: insights into recent advances and key immunological and ethical implementation lessonsNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIEthical considerations in controlled human malaria infection studies in low resource settings: experiences and perceptions of study participants in a malaria challenge study in KenyaNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOISafety and PCR monitoring in 161 semi-immune Kenyan adults following controlled human malaria infectionNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIFour-year efficacy of RTS,S/AS01E and its interaction with malaria exposureNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOICorrelates of protection induced by vÿaccinationNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIImmunogenicity and safety of fractional doses of 17D-213 yellow fever vaccine in children (YEFE): a randomised, double-blind, non-inferiority substudy of a phase 4 trialNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIFractional doses of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine—a noninferiority TrialNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIImmunogenicity and safety of a meningococcal A conjugate vaccine in AfricansNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOILong-term immunogenicity of hepatitis B vaccination and policy for booster: an Italian multicentre studyNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOICytotoxicity of human antibodies targeting the circumsporozoite protein is amplified by 3D substrate and correlates with protectionNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIInability of malaria vaccine to induce antibodies to a protective epitope within its sequenceNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIThe induction and persistence of T cell IFN-γ responses after vaccination or natural exposure is suppressed by Plasmodium falciparumNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOITranslating the immunogenicity of prime-boost immunization with ChAd63 and MVA METRAP from malaria naive to malaria-endemic populationsNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIRelationship between exposure, clinical malaria, and age in an area of changing transmission intensityNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIControlled human malaria infection (CHMI) outcomes in Kenyan adults is associated with prior history of malaria exposure and anti-schizont antibody responseNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOISafety and immunogenicity of varied doses of R21/Matrix-MTM vaccine at three years follow-up: a phase 1b age de-escalation, dose-escalation trial in adults, children, and infants in Kilifi-KenyaNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIQuantification of Plasmodium falciparum : validation of quantitative polymerase chain reaction assays for detection of parasites in controlled human malaria infection studiesNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOITargeted amplicon deep sequencing of ama1 and mdr1 to track within-host P. falciparum diversity throughout treatment in a clinical drug trialNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
2 data/code links checked; 2 live.
- datahttps://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03947190?term=NCT03947190&rank=1LIVEHTTP 200Resolves, but the content could not be matched to the paper.
- datahttps://pactr.samrc.ac.za/TrialDisplay.aspx?TrialID=15911LIVEHTTP 200Resolves, but the content could not be matched to the paper.
Copyediting
9 minorWording, consistency and formatting errors that need correcting before submission.
No major wording or formatting errors. 9 minor suggestions below.
9 copyedit issues flagged: mostly consistency, typo, grammar.
- MINORtypoAbstract“R21/Matrix-M was highly protective against CHMI using ID. inoculation of sporozoites”→ Remove the period after 'ID' to fix the sentence break.Typographical error splitting a sentence.
- MINORconsistencyTable 2“Treated, nonfebrile, % ( n / N ) | 0% (0/12) for R21 DVI”→ Change to 0% (0/5) to match the group n=5.Denominator inconsistency in Table 2.
- MINORtypoMethods, Statistical analysis“Sstatistical analysis plan”→ Change to 'Statistical analysis plan'.Typo in supplementary information description.
- MINORconsistencyResults, Secondary outcomes“127 s.f.u. (95% CI 74–409 s.f.u.) among the control group; P = 0.064, P = 0.001 and P = 0.084”→ Verify the p-values and CIs are consistent with the Extended Data Fig. 2 caption.Potential inconsistency in reported p-values between text and figure caption.
- MINORtypoAbstract“R21/Matrix-M was highly protective against CHMI using ID. inoculation of sporozoites”→ Remove the period after 'ID'.Typographical error.
- MINORconsistencyTable 2“Treated, nonfebrile, % ( n / N ) | 37.5% (3/8) | 0% (0/12) | 17% (2/12) | 35.3% (12/34) | 0% (0/12)”→ The last column shows '0% (0/12)' but the group is R21 DVI n=5; should be '0% (0/5)'.Inconsistent denominator in table.
- MINORconsistencyExtended Data Fig. 2“compared with 127 sfu (95%CI 174 sfu (95%CI 74-409) among the control group”→ Remove the duplicated '95%CI 174 sfu'.Copy-paste error.
- MINORgrammarMain, paragraph 4“We therefore hypothesized that vaccine protection might vary according the route of inoculation”→ Change 'according' to 'according to'.Missing preposition.
- MINORclarityMethods, Statistical analysis“The intent-to-treat (ITT) cohort included volunteers receiving one or more vaccines.”→ Clarify whether ITT includes all randomized or only those who received at least one dose.Definition of ITT could be more precise.
The published work is generally robust, but an informed reader should weigh the small DVI R21 group (n=5) and the power analysis mismatch when interpreting the primary conclusion. The threshold-only p-values and the Table 2 denominator inconsistency warrant attention; a correction or erratum for the Table 2 issue is advisable.
- 1.HIGHrigorCorrect the Table 2 denominator for the 'Treated, nonfebrile' row for R21 DVI: change '0% (0/12)' to '0% (0/5)' to match the group size n=5.The current denominator is internally inconsistent and could mislead readers about the group size.
- 2.HIGHstatisticsProvide a formal power calculation that matches the actual group sizes and primary comparison (ID vs DVI in R21 vaccinees), or explicitly state that the study was not powered for this comparison.The reported power analysis (n=20 or n=10 per group) does not match the actual group sizes (n=5-12), undermining the stated power.
- 3.HIGHstatisticsReport exact p-values (e.g., P=0.0003) instead of thresholds like P<0.0005 in the results and figures, or state that exact values are unavailable due to software output.Threshold-only p-values are imprecise and reduce the informativeness of the statistical reporting.
- 4.HIGHstatisticsReport confidence intervals for the primary efficacy estimates (e.g., 95% CI for the difference in proportions) to complement the p-values.Effect sizes with CIs are reported for immunogenicity but not for the primary efficacy outcomes, limiting interpretation.
- 5.HIGHreportingExplicitly name the reporting guideline followed (e.g., CONSORT) in the methods or a checklist, even though the flow diagram is included.The CONSORT flow diagram is present but the guideline is not explicitly referenced, which is a reporting gap.
- 6.HIGHstatisticsClarify the assumptions of the log-rank test (e.g., proportional hazards) and whether they were verified.The assumptions are not explicitly stated or verified, which is important for the primary analysis.
- 7.MEDIUMreportingAdd a statement on whether the statistical analysis plan was pre-specified and adhered to, to enhance transparency.This would clarify the confirmatory vs exploratory nature of the analyses.
- 8.MEDIUMreportingAdd a note on the handling of missing data or protocol deviations in the statistical analysis section.The ITT definition is mentioned but the handling of missing data is not described.
- 9.MEDIUMdata codeAdd a statement about code availability if any custom analysis code was used, or clarify that no custom code was developed.This would facilitate reproducibility, though not strictly required for a clinical trial.
- 10.MEDIUMreportingIn the discussion, further address the potential impact of the small DVI R21 group (n=5) on the robustness of the primary conclusion.The small group size is a key limitation that should be explicitly weighed in the interpretation.
- 11.MEDIUMcopyeditFix the typo in the Abstract: remove the period after 'ID' in 'ID. inoculation of sporozoites'.This is a clear typographical error that splits a sentence.
- 12.MEDIUMcopyeditFix the grammar in Main paragraph 4: change 'according the route' to 'according to the route'.Missing preposition is a grammatical error.
- 13.MEDIUMcopyeditFix the typo in Methods, Statistical analysis: change 'Sstatistical analysis plan' to 'Statistical analysis plan'.Obvious typo in the supplementary information description.
- 14.MEDIUMcopyeditFix the copy-paste error in Extended Data Fig. 2: remove the duplicated '95%CI 174 sfu'.The duplicated text is a clear error that could confuse readers.
- 15.MEDIUMcopyeditVerify the p-values and CIs in Results, Secondary outcomes are consistent with the Extended Data Fig. 2 caption.There is a potential inconsistency in reported p-values between text and figure caption.
- 16.LOWreportingClarify the definition of the ITT cohort in Methods, Statistical analysis: specify whether it includes all randomized or only those who received at least one dose.The current definition is ambiguous and could affect interpretation of the analysis population.
- 17.LOWdata codeIn the data availability statement, specify the conditions for data access more concretely (e.g., review process, timeline) beyond the committee contact.This would improve transparency and facilitate data sharing.
- 18.LOWotherVerify the reference for the replication data (DOI 10.7910/DVN/TNHS14) as it was not found in the registry.The citation component flagged this reference as not found; it may be a fabrication or an error that should be corrected.
The star rating is the report’s one-glance summary. Every paper starts at 5★ and loses stars for the concrete problems the review finds — so a rating is never a vague average, it’s a running total you can read line by line under “How this rating was calculated.”
- Reporting — 8 dimensionseach dimension that fully fails−½★
- each dimension partially met−¼★
- Statistics · Integrity · Claimseach serious problem−1★
- each medium problem−½★
- Citationseach retracted or unverifiable reference−¼★
- Copyeditonly when the manuscript needs a full edit−½★
The rating never drops below 1★, and a demonstrable critical failure (an impossible statistic, a proven ethics violation) caps it at 1★ on its own — so the stars can never look healthy when the verdict is CRITICAL.
The rating draws on a panel of agents. Three independent Kaimen Rigor reviewers grade the eight dimensions below across several independent passes (the shown verdict is their majority vote — steadier than any single run), isolate the paper’s major claims and check its own evidence backs them, and flag integrity concerns. Alongside them, a citation agent resolves every reference against Crossref, OpenAlex, and Retraction Watch; a statistics agent recomputes reported tests; and rule-based checks verify that declared data/code links actually resolve. Full text is required — an abstract-only submission is not analyzed.
Graded against NIH, MDAR, ARRIVE 2.0, CONSORT, EQUATOR, and RRID guidelines. A dimension that doesn’t apply to the study type is skipped, never penalized.
This Kaimen Rigor review is model-assisted and is not a substitute for formal expert review. It complements human evaluation by surfacing potential methodological concerns — verify each finding against the source.