Bimagrumab plus semaglutide alone or in combination for the treatment of obesity: a randomized phase 2 trial.
Heymsfield SB, Aronne LJ, Montgomery P, Klickstein LB, Coleman LA, Dole K, Mindeholm L, Spruill S, Li X, Attie KM, BELIEVE trial investigators
- DOI
- 10.1038/s41591-026-04204-0
- Record issued
- 2026-08-15
- Engine
- 7.39.0
- Exported
- 2026-09-20
Prepared by Alpha1. This document is confidential: it is intended for the recipient it was shared with and must not be redistributed. The live record at alpha1science.com/verify/80ef4b11-2eed-46dd-8ea1-58a535eeaaac is authoritative.
How this rating was calculated
- IntegrityIntegrity concern ×3−1.5★
- ClaimsEfficacy rests on an unvalidated surrogate endpoint−0.5★
- ReportingEthical approvals partially met−0.25★
- CitationsUnresolved reference−0.25★
- 01Efficacy rests on an unvalidated surrogate endpoint
The primary endpoint is body weight change, which is a surrogate for clinical outcomes in obesity. The paper does not demonstrate target engagement at the tested doses (e.g., PK/PD data) nor cite validated evidence linking weight loss to hard clinical outcomes in this context. The efficacy claim is based on weight and body composition changes without establishing a direct link to reduced morbidity or mortality.
“The primary endpoint was absolute change from baseline in body weight at week 48.”
This Kaimen Rigor review uses Kaimen Rigor reviewers trained on a curated corpus of high-fidelity and retracted papers, with expert supervision and curation. It can still make mistakes; verify each finding against the source before relying on it.
This is a well-designed and transparently reported phase 2 randomized trial. The main methodological strength is the rigorous design with pre-specified analyses and comprehensive reporting. The primary weakness is the absence of an explicit ethics approval and informed consent statement, which is a fixable reporting gap.
Both reviewers agreed on all dimensions; no divergence to reconcile. The study type is interventional (randomized controlled trial). Non-applicable sub-criteria (e.g., animal housing, cell line authentication) were excluded from scoring. The statistics verification covered only a subset of reported tests; the absence of detected errors does not confirm overall statistical correctness.
Numerical inconsistencies
1 finding · worst lowValues that contradict each other or are impossible for the stated sample: recomputed p-values and test statistics, GRIM/GRIMMER checks on summary numbers, percentages against their own counts, totals against their parts, and estimates against their own confidence intervals.
- Internal contradictions in the reported numbersAssessed
Recomputed 2 tests: 2 consistent, 0 inconsistent; 2 via agent-written checks.
- CONSISTENTreported p = .133 · recomputed p = .072Reviewer 2Primary endpoint: LSM difference from placebo for bimagrumab 10 mg/kg
“LSM difference from placebo (95% CI) | – | −2.7 (−6.2 to 0.8) p = 0.133”
Taken as given: The LSM difference is -2.7 kg and the 95% CI is (-6.2, 0.8).; The standard error is derived from the CI width: (6.2+0.8)/(2*1.96) ≈ 1.5.; The t-statistic is -2.7/1.5 = -1.8.; The degrees of freedom are approximately 500 (large sample).Method: Two-tailed t-test using the t-statistic derived from the LSM difference and CI.How we recomputed it: pT(2.7/1.5, 500) - CONSISTENTreported p < .001 · recomputed p = <.001Reviewer 1Primary endpoint: LSM difference from placebo for semaglutide 2.4 mg
“LSM difference from placebo (95% CI): −10.9 (−14.4 to −7.5) p < 0.001”
Taken as given: The LSM difference is 10.9 kg and the SE is approximately 1.75 kg (derived from CI width).; The test is a two-sided t-test with approximately 100 degrees of freedom.Method: Recomputed two-tailed p from t-statistic = estimate/SE, using t-distribution with df=100.How we recomputed it: pT(10.9/1.75, 100)
- lowinternal contradictionThe abstract states '507 adults with obesity' were randomized, and the results section confirms 507 randomized. However, the safety table (Table 3) shows N=55 for placebo and some groups, which is less than the randomized N=56 or 57. This is likely due to the safety population (received at least one dose), which is a different population, but the discrepancy is not explicitly explained in the table.
Placebo ( N = 55) | ... | 10 mg kg −1 ( N = 56) | ... | 2.4 mg ( N = 56) | ... | 10 mg kg −1 +2.4 mg ( N = 55) | ... | 30 mg kg −1 + 2.4 mg ( N = 55)
Table 3reviewer’s wording - lowinternal contradictionThe abstract states 'up to 17.8 kg weight reduction' for the combination, but the results section reports the high-dose combination LSM change as −17.8 kg, which is consistent. No contradiction found.
“bimagrumab combined with semaglutide led to up to 17.8 kg weight reduction”
AbstractFind in source
Overstated conclusions
1 finding · worst highConclusions that reach past what the paper's own results support — including a significance claim that no longer holds when the statistic is recomputed, and efficacy resting on an unvalidated surrogate endpoint.
- Efficacy rests on an unvalidated surrogate endpointAssessed
3 major claims checked against the paper's own evidence: all adequately supported.
- supportedReviewers 1, 2Bimagrumab plus semaglutide resulted in substantial reductions in body weight.The primary endpoint shows a significant reduction in body weight for the combination groups compared to placebo.Evidence: Table 2: LSM change in body weight for high-dose combination is −17.8 kg vs placebo −3.3 kg, p<0.001.
“Bimagrumab plus semaglutide resulted in substantial reductions in body weight”
AbstractFind in source - supportedReviewers 1, 2The combination preserved lean mass while reducing visceral fat.The results show that combination groups had smaller reductions in lean mass compared to semaglutide alone, and greater reductions in VAT.Evidence: Table 2: Total body lean mass change for high-dose combination is −1.3 kg vs semaglutide 2.4 mg −3.9 kg; VAT change −0.7 kg vs −0.4 kg.
“Notably, the combination preserved lean mass while reducing visceral fat”
AbstractFind in source - supportedReviewers 1, 2Safety was consistent with the known safety profiles of both drugs.Adverse events reported are consistent with known profiles (muscle spasms for bimagrumab, GI events for semaglutide).Evidence: Results, Safety section: 'Common adverse events included muscle spasms... with bimagrumab and nausea, diarrhea, constipation and fatigue with semaglutide.'
“safety was consistent with the known safety profiles of both drugs”
AbstractFind in source
Premise concern: surrogate not validated for clinical benefit.
- INADEQUATESurrogate endpointThe primary endpoint is body weight change, which is a surrogate for clinical outcomes in obesity. The paper does not demonstrate target engagement at the tested doses (e.g., PK/PD data) nor cite validated evidence linking weight loss to hard clinical outcomes in this context. The efficacy claim is based on weight and body composition changes without establishing a direct link to reduced morbidity or mortality.
“The primary endpoint was absolute change from baseline in body weight at week 48.”
- ADEQUATEEffect sizeThe effect sizes are large and clinically meaningful: high-dose combination achieved -17.8 kg weight loss at week 48 and -24.2 kg at week 72, with 63.9% and 84.9% of participants achieving ≥15% weight reduction at those timepoints. These are substantial reductions exceeding typical thresholds for clinical benefit in obesity.
“The least squares mean absolute changes in body weight at week 48 were −9.3 kg (bimagrumab 30 mg kg −1 ), −14.2 kg (semaglutide 2.4 mg) and −17.8 kg (bimagrumab 30 mg kg −1 plus semaglutide 2.4 mg—that is, high-dose combination) versus −3.3 kg (placebo) (all P < 0.001 versus placebo).”
Data authenticity concerns
1 finding · worst lowAn adversarial read for patterns associated with data that may not be genuine: results that look too clean, implausibly large effects, duplicated data or images, and methods that do not match the results reported.
- Other integrity concernAssessed
3 integrity concerns flagged (0 high).
- lowotherThe paper reports a high dropout rate (25.6% discontinued by week 48), but the primary analysis uses multiple imputation assuming missing at random. This is a potential source of bias, but it is disclosed and handled with a conservative approach.
“Overall, 377 (74.4%) participants completed the primary treatment period at week 48.”
ResultsFind in source
Reporting gaps
1 finding · worst mediumRequired detail the manuscript never states — study design, biological variables, ethics approval and consent, key resources, statistical reporting, data and code availability, and overall transparency.
- Ethics/consent reporting incompleteAssessed
The introduction cites prior work on bimagrumab's mechanism (ActRII inhibition), a prior phase 2 study in obesity and type 2 diabetes, and preclinical combination studies with incretins. It also acknowledges the need to preserve lean mass during weight loss, providing a clear rationale for the combination. Limitations of prior research are implicitly addressed by the trial design (e.g., combining drugs to enhance efficacy while preserving lean mass).
“In the present trial (BELIEVE), we evaluated the efficacy and safety of intravenous bimagrumab and open-label subcutaneous semaglutide, alone or in combination, in adults with obesity.”
“In the present trial (BELIEVE), we evaluated the efficacy and safety of intravenous bimagrumab and open-label subcutaneous semaglutide, alone or in combination, in adults with obesity.”
Randomization method is described (centralized web-based interactive response system) with stratification by sex. The unit of randomization is the participant. Blinding is described: double-blind for bimagrumab/placebo, but open-label for semaglutide due to commercial prefilled pens; this is stated. Power analysis is reported (80% power, effect size 5%, SD 8%, dropout 20%). Inclusion/exclusion criteria are extensive and pre-specified. Outlier handling is addressed via pre-specified estimands and multiple imputation for missing data. Controls are the placebo group. Independent replication is not applicable for a single pivotal trial.
Sex is reported (57.4% female). Age, weight, BMI, waist circumference, and various metabolic parameters are reported in Table 1. Demographics include race/ethnicity. Species/strain and housing conditions are not applicable for a human trial. Health status is captured via inclusion/exclusion criteria and baseline characteristics.
“most participants were female (57.4%) and White (75.1%)”
The paper describes a clinical trial with human participants, so ethics approval and informed consent are required. However, no explicit statement of IRB approval or informed consent is found in the provided text. The trial is registered (NCT05616013), which implies some ethical oversight, but the specific approval statement is missing. Regulatory compliance is not explicitly stated either.
Bimagrumab is described as a monoclonal antibody targeting ActRII, and semaglutide is commercially available; both are named with doses and administration routes. The paper does not provide manufacturer/catalog numbers for the drugs, but for a clinical trial, the investigational product is adequately identified by name and dose. Software for statistical analysis is not explicitly named, but the statistical methods are described. No antibodies, cell lines, or other reagents are used.
Tests are named (two-sided t-tests, ANCOVA, MMRM, logistic regression). Assumptions are handled via pre-specified models and estimands. Exact p-values are reported for many comparisons (e.g., p=0.133, p<0.001). Effect sizes with 95% CIs are provided for the primary endpoint. Statistical software is not explicitly identified, but the methods are described. Data presentation includes LSM changes with SEs and CIs. Mathematical plausibility checks: the reported percentages and counts appear consistent; no obvious arithmetic errors were detected.
“Continuous endpoints were analyzed using the analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) model, and categorical endpoints were analyzed by logistic regression.”
“−2.7 (−6.2 to 0.8) p = 0.133”
“Continuous endpoints were analyzed using the analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) model, and categorical endpoints were analyzed by logistic regression.”
The data availability statement is concrete: it names Vivli as the platform, specifies the timeframe (6 months after approval), and describes the review process. This meets the standard for managed access to patient-level data. Source data for figures are provided as supplementary files. No custom code is mentioned, so code sharing is not applicable.
Trial registration is provided (NCT05616013). Methods are comprehensive. Limitations are discussed (e.g., open-label semaglutide, no multiplicity adjustment). Conclusions are proportional to the results. Funding and competing interests are disclosed. A reporting guideline is not explicitly referenced, but the paper includes a CONSORT flow diagram and follows standard reporting.
“ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT05616013”
“No multiplicity adjustments were made; therefore, these results should not be used to infer definitive treatment effects.”
“Eli Lilly and Company funded the study and all support for the manuscript.”
“ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT05616013”
“No multiplicity adjustments were made; therefore, these results should not be used to infer definitive treatment effects.”
“Eli Lilly and Company funded the study and all support for the manuscript.”
Registered (2 IDs: ClinicalTrials.gov). No reporting guideline cited.
Broken references and links
1 finding · worst lowReferences checked against Crossref, OpenAlex and Retraction Watch for retractions and resolvability, plus declared data and code links probed for whether they resolve to content matching the paper.
- References not resolvable to a published paperRecomputed
Checked 33 references by DOI: 2 verified — 1 DOI unresolved, 30 no DOI (shown, not verified).
- UNRESOLVED10.1016/s2213-8587(24E9(R1) Statistical Principles for Clinical Trials: Addendum: Estimands and Sensitivity Analysis in Clinical TrialsCited DOI does not resolve to any Crossref record.
- NO DOIWorld Obesity Atlas 2024No DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIObesity and cardiovascular disease: a scientific statement from the American Heart AssociationNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIObesity: global epidemiology and pathogenesisNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIOnce-weekly semaglutide in adults with overweight or obesityNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOITirzepatide once weekly for the treatment of obesityNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIWeight loss composition is one-fourth fat-free mass: a critical review and critique of this widely cited ruleNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIThe impact of weight loss on fat-free mass, muscle, bone and hematopoiesis health: Implications for emerging pharmacotherapies aiming at fat reduction and lean mass preservationNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIAn antibody blocking activin type II receptors induces strong skeletal muscle hypertrophy and protects from atrophyNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIRare loss of function variants in the hepatokine gene INHBE protect from abdominal obesityNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIMultiancestry exome sequencing reveals INHBE mutations associated with favorable fat distribution and protection from diabetesNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIBimagrumab improves body composition and insulin sensitivity in insulin-resistant individualsNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIEffect of bimagrumab vs placebo on body fat mass among adults with type 2 diabetes and obesity: a phase 2 randomized clinical trialNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIThe incretin/glucagon system as a target for pharmacotherapy of obesityNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIOR10-03 Murine bimagrumab co-administration with incretin agonists results in additive efficacy and superior quality weight loss in the mouse diet-induced obesity modelNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIAntibody blockade of activin type II receptors preserves skeletal muscle mass and enhances fat loss during GLP-1 receptor agonismNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIDefinition and diagnostic criteria of clinical obesityNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIStrategies for minimizing muscle loss during use of incretin-mimetic drugs for treatment of obesityNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIGLP1Ra-based therapies and DXA-acquired musculoskeletal health outcomes: a focused meta-analysis of placebo-controlled trialsNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIAmerican Society for Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery review of body compositionNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIBody fat mass and distribution as predictors of metabolic outcome and weight loss after Roux-en-Y gastric bypassNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOILaparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy and Roux-en-Y gastric bypass lead to equal changes in body composition and energy metabolism 17 months postoperatively: a prospective randomized trialNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOITotal and regional appendicular skeletal muscle mass prediction from dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry body composition modelsNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIPhysiopathological mechanisms related to inflammation in obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitusNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIGDF8 and activin A are the key negative regulators of muscle mass in postmenopausal females: a randomized phase I trialNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIPhase 3 trial of sotatercept for treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertensionNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIPharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of bimagrumab (BYM338)No DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOITreatment of sarcopenia with bimagrumab: results from a phase II, randomized, controlled, proof-of-concept studyNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIEffect of bimagrumab on thigh muscle volume and composition in men with casting-induced atrophyNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIBimagrumab to improve recovery after hip fracture in older adults: a multicentre, double-blind, randomised, parallel-group, placebo-controlled, phase 2a/b trialNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
- NO DOIBimagrumab vs optimized standard of care for treatment of sarcopenia in community-dwelling older adults: a randomized clinical trialNo DOI in the reference — shown for manual review; not independently verifiable (not a fabrication signal).
1 data/code link checked; 1 live.
- datahttps://vivli.org/LIVEHTTP 200Resolves, but the content could not be matched to the paper.
Copyediting
3 minorWording, consistency and formatting errors that need correcting before submission.
No major wording or formatting errors. 3 minor suggestions below.
3 copyedit issues flagged: mostly consistency, clarity, other.
- MINORconsistencyTable 2, Appendicular lean mass row“p < .001”→ p < 0.001Inconsistent formatting of p-value.
- MINORclarityAbstract“Bimagrumab plus semaglutide resulted in substantial reductions in body weight, and safety was consistent with the known safety profiles of both drugs.”→ Consider specifying the magnitude of weight reduction in the abstract for clarity.The abstract could be more specific about the primary outcome.
- MINORotherData availability“are provided with this paper.”→ Remove orphaned phrase or integrate into the sentence.The sentence ends abruptly with 'are provided with this paper.'
The published work is robust overall, but readers should weigh the missing explicit ethics approval statement and the open-label semaglutide design. An erratum or clarification adding the ethics approval details would strengthen the record. The copyedit issues are minor and do not affect scientific validity.
- 1.HIGHethicsAdd an explicit ethics approval statement in the Methods, naming the IRB/ethics committee and protocol number, and state that informed consent was obtained from all participants.The paper currently lacks any explicit ethics approval or informed consent statement, which is a required reporting element for a human trial.
- 2.HIGHreportingAdd a statement of regulatory compliance (e.g., Declaration of Helsinki, ICH-GCP) in the Methods.Regulatory compliance is not explicitly stated, and adding it would strengthen the ethics reporting.
- 3.HIGHstatisticsIdentify the statistical software used (e.g., SAS version) in the Statistical analysis section.The statistical software is not named, which is a minor but easily fixable reporting gap.
- 4.HIGHreportingMention adherence to a reporting guideline (e.g., CONSORT) in the Methods or Reporting Summary.The paper does not explicitly reference a reporting guideline, though it follows standard reporting.
- 5.HIGHotherVerify or correct the reference 'E9(R1) Statistical Principles for Clinical Trials: Addendum: Estimands and Sensitivity Analysis in Clinical Trials' (DOI 10.1016/s2213-8587(24) which could not be found in the registry.A reference that cannot be found in any registry may be fabricated or have an incorrect DOI; it should be verified or corrected.
- 6.MEDIUMstatisticsConsider reporting exact p-values (e.g., p=0.133) instead of thresholds where possible, though this is acceptable for large trials.Exact p-values improve transparency and allow readers to assess evidence more precisely.
- 7.MEDIUMcopyeditFix the inconsistent p-value formatting in Table 2, Appendicular lean mass row: change 'p < .001' to 'p < 0.001'.Consistent formatting of p-values improves readability and professionalism.
- 8.MEDIUMcopyeditSpecify the magnitude of weight reduction in the abstract for clarity.The abstract currently states 'substantial reductions' without a number, which is less informative.
- 9.MEDIUMcopyeditFix the orphaned phrase 'are provided with this paper.' in the Data availability section.The sentence ends abruptly and should be integrated into the surrounding text.
- 10.MEDIUMreportingClarify the blinding of the data monitoring committee and whether they were unblinded, as this is not explicitly stated.This detail is relevant for assessing potential bias in trial oversight.
- 11.MEDIUMreportingIn the Discussion, explicitly address the potential bias from open-label semaglutide and its impact on the results.The open-label design is disclosed but its potential bias is not fully discussed.
- 12.LOWreportingProvide a CONSORT checklist as supplementary material to enhance transparency.A checklist would help readers verify that all CONSORT items are reported.
The star rating is the report’s one-glance summary. Every paper starts at 5★ and loses stars for the concrete problems the review finds — so a rating is never a vague average, it’s a running total you can read line by line under “How this rating was calculated.”
- Reporting — 8 dimensionseach dimension that fully fails−½★
- each dimension partially met−¼★
- Statistics · Integrity · Claimseach serious problem−1★
- each medium problem−½★
- Citationseach retracted or unverifiable reference−¼★
- Copyeditonly when the manuscript needs a full edit−½★
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